Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.018174 0.020206 0.022244 0.024435 0.026720 0.029027 0.031526
2025-03-16 0.013756 0.016962 0.020317 0.024058 0.028083 0.032259 0.036897
2025-03-23 0.011406 0.015244 0.019387 0.024123 0.029323 0.034809 0.040988
2025-03-30 0.009396 0.013623 0.018330 0.023831 0.029978 0.036554 0.044042
2025-04-06 0.007705 0.012172 0.017300 0.023424 0.030378 0.037904 0.046559
2025-04-13 0.005917 0.010414 0.015774 0.022328 0.029899 0.038197 0.047830
2025-04-20 0.005176 0.009870 0.015614 0.022752 0.031086 0.040291 0.051041
2025-04-27 0.004229 0.008957 0.014937 0.022510 0.031463 0.041438 0.053160
2025-05-04 0.003318 0.007985 0.014117 0.022040 0.031531 0.042195 0.054810
2025-05-11 0.002783 0.007480 0.013846 0.022203 0.032308 0.043736 0.057314
2025-05-18 0.002209 0.006837 0.013351 0.022056 0.032693 0.044805 0.059266
2025-05-25 0.001623 0.006077 0.012649 0.021613 0.032697 0.045411 0.060670
2025-06-01 0.001170 0.005493 0.012206 0.021551 0.033237 0.046735 0.063013
2025-06-08 0.000699 0.004742 0.011490 0.021133 0.033359 0.047598 0.064868
2025-06-15 0.000432 0.004297 0.011172 0.021201 0.034047 0.049099 0.067430
2025-06-22 0.000190 0.003733 0.010621 0.020925 0.034286 0.050054 0.069345
2025-06-29 0.000038 0.003173 0.010016 0.020542 0.034367 0.050800 0.071001
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002410 0.008978 0.019510 0.033596 0.050504 0.071422
2025-07-13 NaN 0.002257 0.008972 0.019909 0.034630 0.052363 0.074348
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001895 0.008541 0.019681 0.034848 0.053227 0.076098
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001501 0.007983 0.019239 0.034770 0.053718 0.077398
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001325 0.007838 0.019392 0.035455 0.055129 0.079775
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001085 0.007511 0.019254 0.035749 0.056054 0.081568